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【One Punch Man】A thorough examination of the possibilities for the third season! Is the key non-discus profit?

Is the possibility of a third season surprisingly high?

出典 : Amazon.co.jp

Unfortunately, the second season’s disc sales have dropped significantly, but that doesn’t mean that the third season is doomed.
The reason for this is because if a work is selling well in comics, the sequel is being produced regardless of the disc sales.

For example, “Tokyo Gatore-Tokyoguur” that was serialized in Young Jump sold less than 2000 copies in its second season, but a third season was produced.
Some works such as “Kingdom” and “FAIRY TAIL” have been produced for a long period of time regardless of disc sales.
If a publisher determines that “the anime is getting enough publicity,” it means that the support is commensurate with that.

The promotional effect of the anime One Pan Man on the original comics has been outstanding, as mentioned above, and as of December 2019, the total number of copies published in Japan alone has reached 20 million.
The title is also popular overseas, with its first smartphone game, “One Pan Man Ichijutsu Majifight”, released first in China and seems to be doing well in sales rankings.
As such, the profits from non-disc sales are plentiful, so it seems that the budget is sufficient to allow for a third season.

So, if they are going to do a third season, when will it be done?

The second season produced by J.C. STAFF digested the original work faster than the first, with the second season being animated from volume 8 to the middle of volume 17, compared to the first season’s visualization of volumes 1 to 7.
The original comics of Murata’s version of One Pan Man were released in December 2019, with the latest volume, volume 21, released in December 2019, but there are still only four and a half books in stock.
Even if they want to do it at the same pace as the first season, they’ll need at least three more volumes, and considering the pace of comics releases in the past, it’ll take another year to a year and a half.

That would mean that the stock won’t accumulate until the end of 2020 at the earliest.
The actual airing of the show will likely take place after summer 2021.

Summary

When a book is selling as well as One Pan Man, disc sales don’t need to be that important in the production of a sequel.
This work is the mainstay of Young Jump, so the chances of it being made into an anime until the end are pretty high.

However, the big drop in sales in the second season cannot be taken lightly.
If they decide to rethink the direction of the visualization in the future, it may be a while before the third season actually airs.

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