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Grimgal of Ashes and Illusion: An in-depth look at the possibility of a second season! How popular is it now?

Realistically, the possibility of a second season is….

出典 : Amazon.co.jp

As of December 2019, three of Overlap Bunko’s novels have been adapted into anime, Occultic;Nine -Occultic Nine, Mundane Occupation and World’s Strongest, and Grimgal. (Excluding IS 〈Infinite Stratos〉, which was transferred from MF Bunko J.)
Of these, only “Mundane Occupation, World’s Strongest” was selected for a second season.
The disc sales of the anime was around 3000 copies, which was less than that of Grimgal, but the strong sales of the original and the comics seemed to be the deciding factor.

Grimgal’s original work also sold well, and even after the anime adaptation, it was reprinted several times, and the short stories, volume 14+ and 14+, were also reprinted.
The fact that other stories were also reprinted shows that the popularity of the series has not yet waned.

However, the total circulation is 800,000 copies as of volume 12.
Volume 15 will be released in December 2019, and the circulation up to that point is estimated to be around 1 million copies.
Of course, it’s a big enough hit for a ronobe, but it’s not exactly the kind of circulation that will boost the second season.

So what is a realistic level of sales of the discs, the original work, and the comic in order for a second season of the anime to take place?
Let’s take a look at the sales data for each of the anime adaptations since 2010 when the second season (excluding the obvious split into two cool seasons) was announced.

・Sales data of the light novel anime at the time the second season was announced (2010-2019)

*7200 copies, *4.3 million copies Stupid, Test and Summoner
18300 copies/*4.85 million copies Durarara!
23900 copies/*3.7 million copies Ore no Imouto ga Konna ni Kawaii Wake ga Nai ga Nai
33800 copies* 2 million copies IS Infinite Stratos
*3200 copies, *2.5 million copies. Are these zombies?
*6,500 copies/*1.5 million copies Lowe’s Kyuub!
2,800 copies * 1,350,000 copies Horizon on the Border
11,100 copies*4.85 million copies. I don’t have many friends.
*9,800 copies – 3 million copies * High School DxD
*7200 copies and *1 million copies Crawl! Nyaruko-san.
35900/*8.7 million copies of Sword Art Online
*8400 copies, *1.5 million copies Date a Live
*9,800 copies, *2.5 million copies My adolescent romantic comedy is wrong after all.
*9600 copies, *2.5 million copies How to Raise a Dull Girlfriend
*4900 copies, *9 million copies. Is it wrong to want to meet people in a dungeon?
11,700 copies*3 million copies Overload
10900 copies,* 1.5 million copies Bless this wonderful world!
10600 copies *5,000,000 copies Re:Starting from Zero in the Other World
*6,500 copies and 12 million copies of the book. The thing is, when I reincarnated, I was a slime.
*2000 copies, *7.8 million copies The Rise of the Hero of the Shield
*3,000 copies and *2.5 million copies of the world’s most powerful in a mundane profession.

The figures on the left are disc sales, and the figures on the right are the total number of copies of the series.

Looking at past precedents, it seems that in order for a second season to happen with less than 5,000 discs sold, it would take at least 2.5 million copies of the original work to make a second season happen, and for a 1 to 2 million-copy runo-be to do a second season, it would take more than 6,000 discs sold.
Therefore, it must be said that the possibility of a second season of Grimgal is very low.

Summary

The reality is that the second season is pretty tough.
At the very least, if this Subaru Lisero anime had been adapted a year before it aired, it might have had a different outcome.
It was unfortunate that it was at the same time as two of the same otherworldly fantasy blockbusters.

However, that doesn’t mean there’s zero chance, and even if a second season is not possible, it’s possible that there will be an OVA, a new comicalization, or some other media development.
Let’s just wait and trust that those developments will come up!

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