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[Bungo Stray Dogs] A thorough examination of the possibilities for the fourth season! Does the strong performance of the original and merchandise have a pulse?

Stock is fine! What are the chances of limited distribution?

出典 : Amazon.co.jp

As of the third season, the Bunsto anime has digested up to 13 volumes of the original work.
Each of the first three seasons have been broadcasted in a single season, with the first season digesting 4 volumes, the second season digesting 5 volumes, and the third season digesting 4 volumes, so even if a fourth season is produced, it is likely to be adapted in a single season using 4-5 volumes of the original work.

As of February 2020, Bunström’s comics have been released to 18 volumes, so the unimagined portion of the series is five volumes of volumes 14-18.
There is enough stock stored up to produce a fourth season.

Also, Bones, the company producing the Bunsto anime, is actively working on a sequel, and in addition to Bunsto, they have also produced “My Hero Academia”, “SHOW BY ROCK! Mobu Psycho 100”, “Bloodlines”, and many other works that have been produced as sequels.
Especially since Hiro-Aka has already been produced up to the fourth season, a fourth season of Bunsto is very realistic.

By the way, Bones has five different studios, A, B, C, D, and E, and Bunsto is produced by studio D. Studio D is the studio where Bunsto is aired.
D studio has not worked on any other productions since 2016, when Bunström began airing, and has been concentrating on Bunström.
Therefore, there is no problem at all in terms of production capacity.

However, Bonds has a business partnership with the video distribution service Netflix, and in recent years they have been regularly making anime for Netflix distribution.
If D Studio’s resources are devoted to this in the future, it may delay the start of the fourth season.

Also, in some cases, there may be a case where the anime will move to exclusive distribution on Netflix, like “The Crush of Saiki Kusunao”.
Since Netflix is watched mostly by foreign anime fans, they prefer works with lots of action scenes and characters based on foreign literary giants, there is a possibility that Bunsto will become a Netflix exclusive with the mission of “strengthening foreign content”.

However, the chances of that happening are slim.
It is still appropriate to continue to distribute TV anime as the mainstay of the business as before.

How many cartoons will be made for a fourth season?

出典 : Amazon.co.jp

There’s a good chance that a fourth season of Bunsto will be produced, but it’s hard to shake the impression that the bar is pretty high for a fourth season.
That’s something that can only be accomplished with an anime that has sold tens of thousands of copies….

Now, let’s take a look at the list of late night anime that actually aired their 4th season. (Excluding distribution and non-midnight anime aired outside of midnight)

Full Metal Panic!
Magical Girl Lyrical Nanoha
Girl from Hell
The Zero Accuser.
south wind
Hidamari Sketch
Natsume’s friendbook
Tahoehoehoehoe
Detective Opera Milky Holmes
Uta no Prince-sama!
JoJo’s Bizarre Adventure
black market play
Fate/kaleid liner Prisma Illya
Senki Zesshou Symphogear
Yowamushi Pedal
High School DxD
Giant of Progress
Food and Drink
Cinderella Girls Theater

It seems to be a surprisingly large number, but there are about 200 late night anime broadcasted every year, and the percentage of them is about 1-2% at best.
Including “Hetalia” which is mainly distributed, “Hiroaca” which is broadcasted in the evening, and “Gintama”, “Hi-Q”, and “Hayate” which were broadcasted in the morning and evening slots, this number will not change much.
Anime that is produced up to the 4th season is that rare.

However, if you’re asking if it’s because the anime has been a big hit all the way up to the third season that it has been made for four seasons, it’s surprisingly not the case.
Only “Nanoha”, “Friend Book”, “Uta Prep”, “Jojo”, and “Symphogear” have sold more than 10,000 discs on average in the 3rd season.
The only ones that have sold over 10 million copies of their original works are “Furumeta”, “Ambushipedal”, “Shingeki”, and “Soma”, the rest of them do not.

Even if the discs and the originals don’t sell overwhelmingly, there are plenty of works that will be made for a fourth season.
Therefore, there is a good chance that a fourth season of Bunsto will be produced.

Summary

With collaborations and various events going on all the way into 2020, it looks like there’s going to be a fourth season of Bunsto from every angle.
And with the stock being saved up, it could happen as early as 2020 or less!

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